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HAND ODDS - TEXAS HOLDEM POKER
What About The Cards The Other Players Are Holding? Ever question why we never factor in the adversaries' cards or the burn cards when puzzling out how many cards are left?
The reason is that we exclusively consider "unseen cards". If you saw what the burn cards were, or an adversary showed you his hand, you would know that those cards are not going to be drawn and could use that. We generally do not know what they hold, and so we do not even think about it when trying to estimate the correct odds.
For example, take a common deck of 52 cards; remove 2 Aces and burn 25 of them. If you drew the following card, what are the chances of it being an Ace? It would be 2/50 (2 Aces left out of 50 unseen cards).
It would NOT be 2/25 just because you burned half the deck. Okay, do the same thing once more, but this time you get to look at the burn cards. Let's state that of all the cards you burned, none were an ace. Now your odds are 2/25 because there are still 2 Aces and now only 25 "unseen cards".
You will find out that you will be able to easily remember some of the more common situations for outs such as the four flush or straight draw but there has to be a more comfortable way than memorizing the figures for every number of outs. The good news is that there is a way to get a good estimation of the odds without the backbreaking mathematics and you can likewise utilize handy odds charts.
WHAT HANDS WILL BE THE MOST CONSISTENT POT WINNERS?
The following are the most precious starting hands in Texas Holdem. This chart assumes a medium to loose $5-10 Texas Holdem game. The results are based on a computer simulation of 5,000,000 played hands. The percentage shown indicates how many times in typical game that these hands take home the pot.
Simply stick to the big pairs and big Aces:
AA down to TT, AK suited or not, AQ suited or not, AJ suited
How much you can expect to profit from these starting hands? The starting hand average win for each time played based on medium to loose Texas Hold’em Poker games with a $5/$10 limit.
AA $34.19 KK $24.13 QQ $17.36 JJ $12.08 AK suited $11.63 AK offsuit $ 8.65 AQ suited $ 8.32 10 10 $ 7.72 AJ suited $ 5.69 AQ offsuit $ 5.47
This should make the importance of big Aces and high cards clear. So we hope that it is crystal clear by now that you will stay away from small pairs and weak Aces.
Furthermore we present some common and not so common pocket card odds. Study them at your leisure.
Suited Cards 3 : 1
Suited Connecting Cards 24 : 1
No Pair improving to a Pair 2.7 : 1
Flop being 3 of a Kind 391 : 1
Q-Q vs A-K (A or K hitting) 1.5 : 1
Completing an Open Ended Straight 2.9 : 1
Pocket Pair improving to 3 of a Kind after the Flop 12 : 1
4 Players, there's an Ace lurking on the flop.
A chance a player has an A in their hole.
2.1 : 1
2 Players, there's an A on the flop.
Chances that one of your foes has an Ace in their hole.
4.3 : 1
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